Groß
VS
Tavernier
Groß Vs Tavernier: The Better FPL Pick
The call — Groß or Tavernier? My numbers say it's not close — and the cheaper man wins. Over the next six gameweeks I project Pascal Groß for around 46 points. Tavernier comes out at roughly 35. That's an eleven-point gap in Groß's favour, and he costs £0.5m less at £5.6m to Tavernier's £6.1m. When the cheaper player is also the better player…
What has not being with FFIQ cost you this season?
One squad, picked before a ball was kicked and run for six gameweeks on three transfers — no hits taken. Scored on FPL’s own results.
Your name and your FPL team name. That is all it takes, and we will have your answer before you have finished reading this sentence.
↓ Start here — your name, then your team.
No FPL password, ever. We only read what FPL already publishes.
Here's what's driving it. Groß is Brighton's set-piece taker and the hub of everything they create, and my numbers rate his run of fixtures as genuinely kind: Arsenal at home first up, then Sunderland away, Crystal Palace at home, before trips to Liverpool and Manchester City, and Brentford at home to finish. Yes, there are two tough away days buried in there — that's the honest caveat — but Groß's returns don't dry up against big sides because so much of his output comes from corners, free-kicks and penalty involvement rather than needing Brighton to dominate. Call it a steady 7-8 points a week on my projection, with the odd double-digit haul when Brighton click. About 2 in 10 managers already own him, so he's popular but far from everywhere.
Tavernier's case isn't bad — Bournemouth's run is decent too, with Sunderland, Leeds and Ipswich all in the mix — but the schedule opens with Liverpool at home and Chelsea away, and my model simply doesn't see the same weekly output. He's more of a 5-6 points type over this stretch, and while hardly anyone owns him (about 1 in 20), a differential only helps you if the points actually arrive. Paying more for fewer projected points is a hit to your budget and your rank at the same time.
The only real argument for Tavernier is if you're desperate to zag away from the crowd. But 2-in-10 ownership on Groß isn't exactly template-level saturation — there's still plenty of rank to gain if he delivers what I expect.
My call: buy Groß. Cheaper, better projected, and the more reliable route to points over the next six weeks. If you already own Tavernier, the £0.5m you bank in the swap is a bonus, not a consolation.