Brentford
Gtech Community Stadium
Brentford FPL: Who To Own, Captain And Avoid
The call — Nobody at Brentford is nailed. Not one of the eight names in the table below carries a guaranteed start, and that's the first thing you need to know before you spend a penny here — because everything else about this club says buy.
What has not being with FFIQ cost you this season?
One squad, picked before a ball was kicked and run for six gameweeks on three transfers — no hits taken. Scored on FPL’s own results.
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Our model has Brentford as a genuinely good side at both ends — top-six-ish attack, top-six-ish defence — and the fixtures split neatly. The attacking run is honest work: Villa away, Liverpool at home, Brighton away. The clean-sheet run, oddly, is where the kindness sits — Hull, Forest, Everton, sides our projections don't expect to hurt them much. So the counterintuitive read is this: the value at Brentford over the next six is at the back, even while the model's favourite pick plays at the front.
That favourite is Schade, and the case is real — he's projected to out-score everyone else at the club by a distance, he's second in line for penalties, and fewer than 1 in 10 managers own him. He's started five of five so far, which is as close to nailed as this squad gets. The caveat writes itself: Thomas Frank's teams rotate the front line, and a winger with no start guarantee facing Villa and Liverpool early could hand you a couple of thin weeks before the run softens.
Which is why the pragmatist's route in is Kelleher and Ajer. A five-million keeper behind a top-six defence with Hull, Forest and Everton coming is exactly what a budget slot is for, and Ajer at bottom-dollar money with five starts from five is the kind of pick that quietly funds your Haaland. Neither will win you a gameweek. Both will stop you losing one.
Thiago is the one to leave. Priced at nearly eight million for a forward the model ranks behind two midfielders and a keeper at the same club — that's paying for the shirt number, not the output. First on pens keeps him interesting; the projection says wait.
The call: Schade is the buy if you've got a free midfield slot and the stomach for one rocky fortnight. If you're building on a budget, take Kelleher or Ajer instead — the fixtures are doing the defence a favour, and cheap players who start are the whole point.