FPL Budget Picks: The Best FWD Under £7.5
The call — Budget forwards, £7.5m and under: who's actually worth the money Thirty forwards qualify at £7.5m or under this week, and the one our model likes best — Calvert-Lewin at £6.0m — walks straight into Arsenal away. That's the budget bracket in a nutshell: nothing comes clean.
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Down the list, one line each, in our order of preference:
Calvert-Lewin (LEE, £6.0m) — proven, projected around 20 points over the next six, but the fixtures are genuinely nasty starting at the Emirates. About 1 in 4 own him already, so he's the template pick despite the run.
Wissa (NEW, £6.2m) — the numbers pick. Best projection in the bracket at around 26 points over six, a lovely run starting at Coventry, and only about 2 in 10 own him.
Brobbey (SUN, £5.7m) — decent projection (~22), Brighton at home first, but a rough run after that. Barely 1 in 20 own him.
Barry (EVE, £5.6m) — similar story, ~22 points projected, tough fixtures, Hull away next. Under 1 in 10.
Emersonn (IPS, £5.5m) — unproven at this level, hard fixtures. The projection's fine; my faith isn't.
Evanilson (BOU, £6.0m) — proven, average fixtures, Chelsea away first. Serviceable, nothing more.
Gonzalo, McBurnie, N.Jackson — all unproven starters facing tough runs. At this price, minutes are the entire game, and I can't hand you a guarantee on any of them.
Marmoush (TOT, £7.0m) and Solanke (£5.8m) — Spurs at Old Trafford next, and the projections (13-ish each) tell you two forwards are fighting over one productive slot. Avoid both until that sorts itself out.
Delap (NFO, £5.6m) — proven but projecting just 12 over six. Pass.
The honest read: nobody in this bracket comes stamped as a nailed starter yet, so watch the first teamsheets before you burn a transfer. But here's the thing that nags at me — Wissa projects five points clear of Calvert-Lewin, costs 20p more, and gets Coventry while DCL gets Arsenal. Our model still ranks Calvert-Lewin top, which tells you it trusts him to hold his slot in that Leeds attack more than anything Newcastle-shaped.
The call: Calvert-Lewin is the pick if you want the safe, proven route — he's the bracket's most reliable body. But if your £6.0m can stretch to £6.2m, Wissa is the best alternative and, frankly, the one I'd buy: kinder fixtures, bigger projection, fewer owners. Take the extra 20p out of your bench keeper and get it done.