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Fantasy Football IQ
FodenCherkiVS
FPL · Head-to-Head · Gameweek 3

Foden Vs Cherki: The Better FPL Pick

The call — Foden vs Cherki: one City midfielder, and my numbers say it's not the popular one Here's the thing my numbers keep flagging: Phil Foden is 50p cheaper than Rayan Cherki, projected for more points over the next six gameweeks, and owned by roughly a third as many managers.

Gameweek
GW3
Head-to-Head
Best next six
25.7
Foden · GW8–13
Most owned
37.2%
Cherki · of FPL managers
Cheapest
£5.0m
Trafford · goalkeeper
This is from Gameweek 3, kept for the record. Everything from Gameweek 3 → · The latest from The Brief →
The write-up

That's the whole argument in one sentence — but let's do it properly.

Both players sit in the same City midfield, so this is a straight head-to-head with identical fixtures: COV (H), MUN (A), SUN (H), LIV (A), IPS (H) and AVL (A). That's a genuinely kind run — three promoted-or-struggling sides at home, and even the away days are the sort City historically travel to without fear. Whoever you pick from this pair, the schedule is doing them favours.

So why Foden? At £7.0m, my projection has him around the 33-point mark across those six gameweeks — call it 5-6 points most weeks, with the sort of home fixtures (Coventry, Sunderland, Ipswich) where he can go massive on his day. And here's the kicker: hardly anyone has him. About 4 in 100 managers — call it fewer than 1 in 20. That's a genuine chance to gain ground on the field if he delivers.

Cherki is the more popular pick — roughly 1 in 10 own him — and he costs £7.5m for a projection that comes in about four points lighter over the same stretch. He's not a bad player; my numbers just say you're paying more, for less, alongside more people. That's three strikes in a two-horse race.

The honest caveat: this is Manchester City, and City midfielders live with rotation. Neither of these two is what I'd call nailed for 90 minutes every week, and Pep's selections can burn you in any given gameweek. If minutes wobble, both projections wobble with them. That risk applies equally to both, though — so it doesn't change the ranking, it just means you should captain elsewhere until the minutes settle.

Trips to Old Trafford and Anfield in that run are the other wrinkle. I'd temper expectations for those two weeks and bank on the three home games as the real payoff.

The call: buy Foden, not Cherki. Cheaper, projected higher, barely owned — same fixtures, better deal. If you already own Cherki, I wouldn't burn a hit to swap, but every fresh pound going into this City midfield should land on Foden.

Head-to-head
Foden · MCICherki · MCI
PositionMIDMID
Price£6.8m£7.9m
Owned1.5%31.8%
Proj (next 6)13.930.5
Form0.09.0
xGI2.493.0
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THE FFIQ TEAM · GW1–GW6
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The Fantasy Football IQ Show

Foden on the show

Man City 3-2 Ipswich. Haaland scored twice and took the max bonus for 13 FPL points. He was the FFIQ Team's Triple Captain, so that's 39. Foden scored too, for 9. The FFIQ Team had benched its two Ipswich defenders, and Davis and O'Shea got 3 points between them. Gvardiol, in nearly three in ten teams, was booked and off after 29 minutes with nothing. Haulage King would hold him, his first blank in four with no flag from FPL. FPL Brains says not yet on Foden at 6.8m, four starts from seven.

Man City 3-2 IpswichFull time · GW7

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