Groß
VS
Neto
Groß Vs Neto: The Better FPL Pick
The call — Groß vs Neto: one of these is a sixteen-point gap, and it's not close My numbers have Pascal Groß down for around 48 points over the next six gameweeks. Pedro Neto? Around 33. That's a sixteen-point gap between two midfielders separated by just £0.4m — and it's the cheaper man who comes out on top.
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One squad, picked before a ball was kicked and run for six gameweeks on three transfers — no hits taken. Scored on FPL’s own results.
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Groß at £6.1m is already the template pick, owned by 44.2% of managers, and on this evidence they're right. He's the sort of player who quietly racks up a solid haul most weeks rather than living off one-off explosions — and over six gameweeks that steadiness compounds into the kind of total most premium midfielders would be happy with. The honest caveat: his run starts with the two hardest trips in the game, Liverpool away and Manchester City away. If you're buying him, buy him for the full stretch — Brentford at home, Hull away, Newcastle at home and Bournemouth away is where the points pile up — not for instant returns in the next fortnight.
Neto is the tempting one on paper. He's £6.5m, owned by just 1.6% of managers, and Chelsea's fixtures look genuinely kind — Spurs and United at Stamford Bridge, then Sunderland away, Leeds at home, Forest away and Palace at home. If he hits, almost nobody else has him and you fly up your mini-league. But my projection says he's good for roughly 33 points across that run — call it five or six a week — and you're paying more for it. A differential only works if the player actually outscores the man he's replacing, and Neto starts sixteen points behind.
There's also the simple maths of going against 44.2% of managers. If Groß hauls and you own Neto instead, you're losing ground to nearly half the game every time it happens. That's a lot of risk to take on for a player my numbers rate clearly lower.
The call: buy Groß. Cheaper, better projected, and the safest £6.1m you'll spend this month. Ride out the Liverpool and City trips, and let the back four fixtures do the rest. Neto stays on the watchlist — nothing more.