FPL Differentials: The Low-Owned Picks To Target — 26 Aug
The call — The ledger stays open. Nobody owns Jack Hinshelwood. Two in every hundred managers, £6.0m, midfield. Our model has him top of this week's under-the-radar list — around 28 points over the next six, and Brighton's run is about as kind as they come: Aston Villa at home, then Chelsea away, then Leeds at the American Express.
What has not being with FFIQ cost you this season?
One squad, picked before a ball was kicked and run for six gameweeks on three transfers — no hits taken. Scored on FPL’s own results.
Your name and your FPL team name. That is all it takes, and we will have your answer before you have finished reading this sentence.
↓ Start here — your name, then your team.
No FPL password, ever. We only read what FPL already publishes.
Honest picture: he's a 2-point man on a normal week and can blank outright. But when it lands, it's a ten, and he's roughly a one-in-9 shot at that big week every time he steps out. At £6.0m with nobody watching, that's my kind of trade.
Second name on the record: Mateta. £6.5m, about 5 in every 100 have him. Projected just shy of 27 over six — that's Cunha territory at £1.5m less. Fixtures are only average — Everton away, City at home, Fulham away — so you're buying the player, not the run. Same one-in-9 shot at a haul as Hinshelwood. I'll take a proven striker at that price and that ownership all day.
Now the ones I'm NOT buying yet.
Cunha is nearly template already — almost 1 in 10 own him at £8.0m. The fixtures are lovely (Hull, Ipswich, Everton) but he projects *below* Mateta while costing more, and the haul odds are slightly worse. If everyone's arriving anyway, there's no edge left for me. Pass.
Schade (£6.0m, 3-4 in 100) and Tavernier (£6.0m, 2 in 100) are watchlist. Both around 24-25 points over six, both can blank to zero on a quiet week. Schade's run reads nicer than Tavernier's — Spurs at home, Leeds away, Sunderland at home versus a trip to the Etihad. One good return from either and I move.
Wissa at Newcastle is the trap. £6.0m looks tempting, but Liverpool at home then Spurs away is no place to start a punt. Wait.
For the ledger: I flagged three sub-3%-owned players last season who ended the year in half the top-10k teams. This is the same shape of call.
The verdict, plainly: buy Hinshelwood, buy Mateta. Everyone else waits.
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