Nottingham Forest Vs Leeds United FPL: Who Hauled And What It Means
The call — NFO 0–1 LEE: Stach scores, Leeds keep it clean, Calvert-Lewin blanks Anton Stach scored the only goal at The City Ground on 22 August. He played 90 minutes, made 16 defensive contributions, took all 3 bonus points and returned 13. He costs £6.0m. Fewer than 1 in 10 managers own him — closer to 1 in 100.
That is the line from this match. A £6.0m midfielder who scores, clears the defensive-contribution mark and sweeps the bonus is a return most weeks, with a haul on the weeks he finds the net. Our projections rank him first among the Leeds options. One match is one match. That is the caveat. It is stated. It does not change the price or the points.
The clean sheet held behind him. Bijol (£5.0m) and Justin (£4.5m) each returned 10 points, both with 2 bonus, both clearing the defensive-contribution threshold. Trafford (£5.0m) made 3 saves and returned 9. Rodon, Muharemović and Bogle took 6 apiece. Ownership across that back line sits at fewer than 1 in 10 in every case. Justin at £4.5m is the entry point on cost. Bijol returned the same total for £0.5m more.
Now the blanks. Calvert-Lewin, owned by about 3 in 10 managers, played 90 minutes, was booked, and returned 1 point in a match his team won. Gibbs-White, owned by about 1 in 10, returned 2. N.Williams, owned by about 1 in 10, returned 2 with no clean sheet behind him. Chris Wood came off after 28 minutes on 1 point. Forest scored nothing at home.
What the facts force:
- Stach: buy. £6.0m, 13 points, goal threat plus defensive contributions plus bonus. Almost nobody owns him.
- Justin or Bijol: buy if you want the clean-sheet route into this defence. £4.5m and £5.0m.
- Calvert-Lewin: hold. He played 90 minutes with no reported problem. His team won and kept a clean sheet. One blank is not a sale.
- Gibbs-White: hold, watch. £8.0m for 2 points in a home defeat. A second return like that changes the call. It has not happened yet.
Stach is the transfer. Make it.