FPL Price Changes Tonight: Who's Set To Rise Or Fall
The call — Price Watch: Two Rises to Beat Tonight, Six Falls Worth Waiting For Over 171,000 managers have moved for João Pedro on a net basis — and when a player already sitting in roughly 7 in 10 squads is still pulling in transfers at that rate, the ledger only points one way. He's the likeliest riser on tonight's board, and if…
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De Cuyper is the quieter entry but nearly as heavy — 166,000 net transfers in, on ownership of about 3 in 10. That's a much steeper buying rate relative to his existing owners, which is exactly the profile that tips a price overnight. Two likely rises, then, and both frame the same decision: if either man was coming in this week anyway, bring the move forward. A £0.1m rise sounds trivial until you're the one short of it on deadline day.
Now the other side of the book — and it's longer. Gakpo is the headline faller, haemorrhaging 81,000 net transfers with ownership already down around 1 in 10. Tzolis (-56,000) and Scott (-36,000) are in the same queue, and Igor Jesus, Kluivert and J.Ramsey are drifting toward the threshold on smaller but still negative numbers. The honest caveat applies to every line here: these are likelihoods, not certainties — thresholds shift, and a late wave of transfers can save or sink a price that looked settled at teatime. Nobody outside the game's own servers knows the exact trigger point, and I won't pretend otherwise.
But the asymmetry is the whole point. If you're selling Gakpo or Tzolis, there is zero financial case for rushing — their prices are falling toward you, not away from you. Every day you wait, your replacement options stay the same and the player you're ditching gets cheaper for everyone else, which costs you nothing. Sell in your own time.
The buys are the opposite. Delay costs real money, and the money compounds across a season of tight budgets.
The call: if João Pedro or De Cuyper is in your plans this week, make the transfer tonight and bank the £0.1m before it's gone — De Cuyper especially, given how fast he's moving relative to his owner base. The fallers? Sit on your hands. Let Gakpo, Tzolis and Scott drop first and pocket the difference. Buy before the rise, sell after the fall — that's the only way the ledger balances.