FPL Price Changes Tonight: Who's Set To Rise Or Fall

Tonight's Ledger: Two Rises Worth Beating, Eight Falls Worth Waiting Out

Nearly 87,000 managers have moved for Belloumi this week, and the maths on that is simple: a player owned by fewer than 2 in 10 managers doesn't absorb that kind of traffic without the price ticking up. He's the closest thing to a certainty on tonight's board — and if he's on your shortlist for the next fortnight, the £0.1m is there to be banked now rather than paid later.

Schade is the other one moving. Around 75,000 net transfers in, ownership sitting at roughly 1 in 20, and the momentum all pointing one way. Neither rise is guaranteed — thresholds shift and nothing is certain until the numbers land tonight — but both are firmly in "likely" territory, and likely is all you ever get in this game.

The honest caveat: never buy a player purely to catch £0.1m. A tenth of a million is a rounding error next to a wasted transfer on someone who doesn't fit your plans. The rule is simple — if Belloumi or Schade was already coming in this week or next, bring the move forward to tonight. If he wasn't, the rise changes nothing.

On the other side of the ledger, the fallers are a list you can safely ignore for now. Collins is the headline — nearly 10,000 managers heading for the exit — with Dango and Woltemade also bleeding around 3,000 each. The rest (Wieffer, Shahar, Disasi, Tel, Marc Guiu) are sub-1,000-owner fringe names dropping on tiny volume. Here the timing logic flips: if any of these are on your buy list, wait. A faller tonight is £0.1m cheaper tomorrow, and there's no queue forming to snap them up before you. If you own Collins and were planning to sell anyway, tonight's the night to protect your selling price — hold past the drop and you've donated £0.1m to nobody.

The call: if Belloumi or Schade was already in your plans, do the transfer tonight and beat the rise — Belloumi is the surer of the two. Sell Collins tonight if he was going anyway. Everyone else on the fallers list: sit tight, let the price drop, and buy cheaper later in the week. The ledger rewards patience on the way down and speed on the way up.