FPL Gameweek 7: The Players Due A Goal And The Ones Running Hot
The call — Five players with 450 minutes or more have scored at least a goal fewer than their expected goals (xG). That's FPL's own figure for how many goals a player's chances would bring an average finisher. The Gameweek 7 deadline is Sat 17 Oct, 11:00, 64 hours away.
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Thiago tops the due list. The Brentford forward, £7.8m and owned by 9.2%, has 1 goal from 3.2 xG in 532 minutes, a gap of 2.2. Next up is Liverpool at home. Gonzalo of Fulham, £6.1m and 7.2% owned, has 1 goal from 3.0 xG in 511 minutes, a gap of 2.0, with Hull City at home. Wissa, £6.3m at Newcastle and owned by 18%, has 1 goal from 2.5 xG in 518 minutes. Aston Villa at home is a kind fixture. Barry of Everton, £5.7m and 8.7% owned, has 3 goals from 4.4 xG and hosts Chelsea. McBurnie, £5.5m at Hull City and 1.8% owned, has no goals from 1.2 xG in 531 minutes. Fulham away is a tough fixture. All five started all six of their last six league games.
Five are running hot. Rogers of Chelsea, £7.9m and owned by 45%, has 4 goals from 1.9 xG, 2.1 above expected, with Everton away a kind fixture. Semenyo, £8.3m at Man City and 13.8% owned, has 2 goals from 0.3 xG and hosts Ipswich Town. Janelt of Brentford, £5.0m and 2.5% owned, has 2 goals from 0.5 xG before Liverpool at home. Tavernier, £6.1m at Bournemouth and 7.3% owned, has 3 goals from 1.7 xG and hosts Sunderland on Sun 18 Oct. Mitchell of Crystal Palace, £4.5m and 5.9% owned, has 2 goals from 0.8 xG. Brighton away is a very tough fixture.
A gap between expected goals and goals tends to close over a run of games. It never promises a goal this week. Weigh it with the minutes and the fixture. Wissa has the kindest fixture of the due list. McBurnie has the toughest.