Hull City
MKM Stadium
Hull City FPL: Who To Own, Captain And Avoid
The call — HULL: THE VALUE'S AT THE WRONG END — WHICH IS FINE, IF YOU BUY THE RIGHT END Here's the quirk our model keeps flagging: Hull's attack is about to run into a very tough stretch of fixtures, yet those same six games look genuinely kind for clean sheets. Four of them are at the MKM — Everton, Brentford, Ipswich, Brighton…
What has not being with FFIQ cost you this season?
One squad, picked before a ball was kicked and run for five gameweeks on three transfers — no hits taken. Scored on FPL’s own results.
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That tells you exactly where to put your money. Hull sit mid-table at both ends in our numbers — tenth-meanest defence, twelfth-best attack — so this is a fixtures play, not a quality play. And the fixtures favour the back five.
The curiosity is that our model's favourite Hull asset is actually a midfielder. Belloumi tops the list — he's on free-kicks and corners, he's starting every week, and hardly anyone owns him, about 1 in 20. For the money he's the one Hull attacker with a real route to returns, mostly because dead balls don't care how tough the opponent is. If you want a Hull body going forward, it's him, not McBurnie — the striker has penalties but he's priced above the defenders and asked to score against a run of fixtures our model rates as hostile.
But the dry, boring, correct answer is the defence. Egan and Giles are both bottom-of-the-market money, both started all five games so far, and both ride the same clean-sheet wave. Giles even chips in on set pieces, which is a nice bonus on a left-back priced like a bench filler. Ajayi and Tzolakis are the more popular routes in — roughly 1 in 10 own each — but they cost slightly more for the same clean sheets, and in this column we don't pay extra for the same shutout.
The honest caveat: this is promoted-side defending, mid-pack rather than mean, and one bad afternoon against Arsenal is baked into the run. These are 2–4 point weeks with the occasional six, not haul machines. That's the deal at this price.
The call: buy in through the defence — Egan or Giles, whichever your budget prefers — and start them in every home game of this run. Belloumi is the one attacker worth a punt as a cheap fifth midfielder. Leave McBurnie alone until the fixtures turn.